España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Pantoja: PP would keep its majority

Pantoja (Toledo, 3,506 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 66.2% of the vote (2023: 66.9%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 28.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pantoja

Pantoja is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 3,506 inhabitants, the 57th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 66.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 70.4% of the 2,692 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 66.9% → 66.2% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 28.8% → 25.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.7% → 7.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,896 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pantoja in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →