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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Toledo

Ontígola: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Ontígola (Toledo, 4,752 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.4% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 12%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 4%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 24.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Ontígola

Ontígola is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 4,752 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.5% of the vote and 5 seats; VOX was second with 3. 57.9% of the 3,614 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 30.7% → 40.4% 3 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.5% → 35.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 24.8% → 22.1% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,094 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ontígola in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →