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Novés: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Novés (Toledo, 3,236 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 45.3%) Majority 17%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 28.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.4% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 83% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Novés

Novés is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 3,236 inhabitants, the 60th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 45.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 61.8% of the 2,365 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.3% → 40.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.9% → 27.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 18.7% → 27.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,462 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Novés in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →