Cebolla: PSOE would keep its majority
Cebolla (Toledo, 3,201 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%PSOE majority
- 1,678valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 54.6% of the vote (2023: 58.8%)
Majority 89%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 36.4%)
Majority 2%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 4.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 58.8% → 54.6% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 36.4% → 35.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 4.1% → 8.8% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,678 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.