Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Novés: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Novés (Toledo, 3,236 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.5% of the vote (2023: 45.3%) Majority 17%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 28.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.4% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 83% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.3% → 40.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.9% → 27.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 18.7% → 27.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,462 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Novés in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →