Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Malpica de Tajo: PP would win a majority

Malpica de Tajo (Toledo, 1,688 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 43.2%) Majority 44%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS IU−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 56% of 300 simulated elections.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

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About Malpica de Tajo

Malpica de Tajo is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,688 inhabitants, the 98th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 43.2% of the vote and 4 seats; UNIDAS IU was second with 3. 78.3% of the 1,409 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 44% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.2% → 46.6% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.6% → 26.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. UNIDAS IUSumar, Podemos and allies 28.7% → 26.4% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,103 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Malpica de Tajo in size, in Toledo

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