Malpica de Tajo: PP would win a majority
Malpica de Tajo (Toledo, 1,688 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 56%no list with a majority
- 1,103valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 56% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Malpica de Tajo
Malpica de Tajo is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,688 inhabitants, the 98th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 43.2% of the vote and 4 seats; UNIDAS IU was second with 3. 78.3% of the 1,409 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 44% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 43.2% → 46.6% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.6% → 26.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- UNIDAS IUSumar, Podemos and allies 28.7% → 26.4% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,103 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Malpica de Tajo in size, in Toledo
- San Pablo de los Montes1,696 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- La Torre de Esteban Hambrán1,703 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Quismondo1,673 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- El Toboso1,663 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Huerta de Valdecarábanos1,726 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Camuñas1,742 inhabitants · 9 councillors