España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Las Ventas de Retamosa: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Las Ventas de Retamosa (Toledo, 3,806 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.5% of the vote (2023: 38.1%) Majority 8%
APV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 24.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 18.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.1% → 36.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. APVLocal lists 24.7% → 25.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.8% → 19.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 18.6% → 15.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,703 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Las Ventas de Retamosa in size, in Toledo

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