Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Villa de Don Fadrique: PP would keep its majority

La Villa de Don Fadrique (Toledo, 3,572 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.7% of the vote (2023: 53.7%) Majority 96%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 21.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.7% → 57.7% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 24.1% → 21.6% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 21.3% → 19.8% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,199 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Villa de Don Fadrique in size, in Toledo

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