Hinojosa de San Vicente: PP would win a majority
Hinojosa de San Vicente (Toledo, 394 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 52%PSOE majority
- 347valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 47.6%)
Majority 48%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 51.0%)
Majority 52%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.6% → 49.3% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 51.0% → 49.2% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 347 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.