Buenaventura: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Buenaventura (Toledo, 403 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 91%no list with a majority
- 283valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 38.3% of the vote (2023: 29.0%)
Majority 9%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 33.9%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 34.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 29.0% → 38.3% 2 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 33.9% → 30.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.6% → 28.6% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 283 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Buenaventura in size, in Toledo
- Los Cerralbos397 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Cardiel de los Montes394 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Hinojosa de San Vicente394 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Mascaraque414 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Aldeanueva de San Bartolomé416 inhabitants · 7 councillors
- Mohedas de la Jara389 inhabitants · 7 councillors