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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Toledo

Buenaventura: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Buenaventura (Toledo, 403 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 38.3% of the vote (2023: 29.0%) Majority 9%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 33.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 34.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Buenaventura

Buenaventura is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 403 inhabitants, the 160th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 34.6% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 2. 77.5% of the 365 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 29.0% → 38.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.9% → 30.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 34.6% → 28.6% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 283 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Buenaventura in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →