Montesclaros: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Montesclaros (Toledo, 384 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 67%no list with a majority
- 301valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 44.6% of the vote (2023: 51.2%)
Majority 33%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 21.9%)
Majority under 1%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 25.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.2% → 44.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 21.9% → 30.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 25.6% → 23.5% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 301 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.