Montesclaros: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Montesclaros (Toledo, 384 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 67%no list with a majority
- 301valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Montesclaros
Montesclaros is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 384 inhabitants, the 165th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 51.2% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 83.4% of the 361 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.2% → 44.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 21.9% → 30.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 25.6% → 23.5% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 301 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.