Escalonilla: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Escalonilla (Toledo, 1,440 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 958valid votes in 2023 (88% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Escalonilla
Escalonilla is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,440 inhabitants, the 104th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 39.9% of the vote and 4 seats; EPT was second with 2. 88.5% of the 1,083 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 39.9% → 36.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 17.8% → 25.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- EPTLocal lists 24.5% → 24.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 17.2% → 13.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 958 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.