España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Belvís de la Jara: PP would keep its majority

Belvís de la Jara (Toledo, 1,497 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 54.0% of the vote (2023: 52.3%) Majority 82%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 43.5%) Majority 18%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.3% → 54.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 43.5% → 41.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. AQUI AHORALocal lists 3.4% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,022 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Belvís de la Jara in size, in Toledo

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