Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Escalonilla: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Escalonilla (Toledo, 1,440 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 3%
VOX±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 17.8%) Majority 0%
EPT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 24.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 17.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.9% → 36.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.8% → 25.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. EPTLocal lists 24.5% → 24.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 17.2% → 13.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 958 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Escalonilla in size, in Toledo

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