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El Viso de San Juan: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

El Viso de San Juan (Toledo, 5,533 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 31.4% of the vote (2023: 35.7%) Majority 1%
UPVI±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 22.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.1% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Viso de San Juan

El Viso de San Juan is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 5,533 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 35.7% of the vote and 5 seats; UPVI was second with 3. 53.8% of the 4,062 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 35.7% → 31.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. UPVILocal lists 22.0% → 22.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.1% → 21.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 19.4% → 18.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 5.9% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. UCINLocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,186 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Viso de San Juan in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →