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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Toledo

Camuñas: PP would keep its majority

Camuñas (Toledo, 1,742 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 61.3% of the vote (2023: 59.5%) Majority 98%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.3% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Camuñas

Camuñas is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,742 inhabitants, the 94th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 59.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 74.2% of the 1,286 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.5% → 61.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.7% → 28.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. AQUI AHORALocal lists 8.1% → 8.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 954 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Camuñas in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →