Argés: PP would keep its majority
Argés (Toledo, 6,829 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 94%PP majority
- 3,547valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Argés
Argés is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 6,829 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 56% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 70.4% of the 5,041 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 94% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.0% → 55.6% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.9% → 27.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 7.6% → 13.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.6% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,547 valid votes including 65 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.