Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Argés: PP would keep its majority

Argés (Toledo, 6,829 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 55.6% of the vote (2023: 56.0%) Majority 94%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 30.9%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.0% → 55.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.9% → 27.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.6% → 13.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 3.6% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,547 valid votes including 65 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Argés in size, in Toledo

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