Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alcolea de Tajo: PSOE would keep its majority

Alcolea de Tajo (Toledo, 824 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 85.3% of the vote (2023: 85.3%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 14.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Alcolea de Tajo

Alcolea de Tajo is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 824 inhabitants, the 127th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 85.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 83.2% of the 686 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 85.3% → 85.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 14.0% → 14.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 571 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcolea de Tajo in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →