Carmena: PP would keep its majority
Carmena (Toledo, 777 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 82%PP majority
- 547valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 52.7% of the vote (2023: 53.6%)
Majority 82%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 41.5%)
Majority 13%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 53.6% → 52.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 41.5% → 37.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 4.6% → 9.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 547 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.