Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valderrobres: PP would keep its majority

Valderrobres (Teruel, 2,498 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 56.3%) Majority 99%
CHA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.8% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%
PAR±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valderrobres

Valderrobres is a municipality in the province of Teruel with 2,498 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 235 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 56.3% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; CHA was second with 2. 69.9% of the 1,645 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.3% → 57.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. CHALocal lists 14.9% → 15.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PARLocal lists 14.1% → 15.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 13.5% → 10.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,150 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valderrobres in size, in Teruel

Every municipality in Teruel → · All of Spain →