Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Calamocha: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Calamocha (Teruel, 4,485 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 38.9% of the vote (2023: 43.1%) Majority 15%
EXISTE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 23.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
PAR±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Calamocha

Calamocha is a municipality in the province of Teruel with 4,485 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 235 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 43.1% of the vote and 5 seats; EXISTE was second with 3. 70.5% of the 3,140 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.1% → 38.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EXISTELocal lists 23.3% → 24.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.7% → 18.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PARLocal lists 9.6% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.2% → 7.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,214 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calamocha in size, in Teruel

Every municipality in Teruel → · All of Spain →