Aguaviva: no list would have a majority, G A largest
Aguaviva (Teruel, 556 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 49%no list with a majority
- 352valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
G A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 49.7%)
Majority 47%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 34.7%)
Majority 4%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 7.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- G ASumar, Podemos and allies 49.7% → 43.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 34.7% → 34.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.4% → 13.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARLocal lists 8.0% → 8.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 352 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.