Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilaverd: AV-AM would keep its majority

Vilaverd (Tarragona, 453 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AV-AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 63.2% of the vote (2023: 54.9%) Majority 99%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 35.5% of the vote (2023: 43.7%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vilaverd

Vilaverd is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 453 inhabitants, the 130th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 AV-AM came first with 54.9% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 3. 80.9% of the 362 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps AV-AM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AV-AMERC 54.9% → 63.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 43.7% → 35.5% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 293 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilaverd in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →