El Masroig: FM - AM would win a majority
El Masroig (Tarragona, 479 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 53%FM - AM majority
- 266valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
FM - AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 49.0% of the vote (2023: 40.6%)
Majority 53%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.4% of the vote (2023: 56.8%)
Majority 47%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- FM - AMERC 40.6% → 49.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 56.8% → 48.4% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 266 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.