España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Roda de Berà: TRIA RODA would keep its majority

Roda de Berà (Tarragona, 7,591 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

TRIA RODA±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 44.7%) Majority 88%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 15.9%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 17.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 12% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Roda de Berà

Roda de Berà is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 7,591 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 TRIA RODA came first with 44.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 2. 52.8% of the 5,609 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps TRIA RODA on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 88% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. TRIA RODALocal lists 44.7% → 47.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 15.9% → 15.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 17.4% → 14.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 6.7% → 8.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CMJunts 6.5% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. VALENTSLocal lists 4.3% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. REC-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,963 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Roda de Berà in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →