Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Roquetes: ERC - AM would keep its majority

Roquetes (Tarragona, 8,193 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 54.5% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 98%
PSC-CP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%
MR-MTE - C−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 3.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 46.9% → 54.5% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 17.3% → 12.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. MR-MTE - CSumar, Podemos and allies 15.0% → 10.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. CMJunts 12.9% → 10.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.4% → 7.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. VALENTSLocal lists 2.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,005 valid votes including 56 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Roquetes in size, in Tarragona

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