Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montblanc: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Montblanc (Tarragona, 7,410 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 35.9%) Majority 1%
EM-AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
JUNTSXMTB - ARA PL±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%
DP - FIC+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 35.9% → 32.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EM-AMERC 19.7% → 25.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. JUNTSXMTB - ARA PLLocal lists 21.8% → 22.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. DP - FICLocal lists 12.6% → 12.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 8.4% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,379 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montblanc in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →