Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montblanc: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Montblanc (Tarragona, 7,410 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 35.9%) Majority 1%
EM-AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%
JUNTSXMTB - ARA PL±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%
DP - FIC+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montblanc

Montblanc is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 7,410 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 35.9% of the vote and 5 seats; JUNTSXMTB - ARA PL was second with 3. 63.2% of the 5,344 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 35.9% → 32.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EM-AMERC 19.7% → 25.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. JUNTSXMTB - ARA PLLocal lists 21.8% → 22.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. DP - FICLocal lists 12.6% → 12.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 8.4% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,379 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montblanc in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →