España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

La Secuita: ERC - AM would keep its majority

La Secuita (Tarragona, 1,765 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 77.6% of the vote (2023: 70.4%) Majority over 99%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About La Secuita

La Secuita is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,765 inhabitants, the 67th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 70.4% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 1. 50.2% of the 1,340 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 70.4% → 77.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 17.5% → 12.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 8.8% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 673 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Secuita in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →