Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Ràpita: no list would have a majority, PR-PSC-CP largest

La Ràpita (Tarragona, 14,767 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PR-PSC-CP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 33.9% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 4%
ERC - AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 23.2%) Majority under 1%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
MR±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 3.3%) Majority 0%
LRXXI-ARA PL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%
FR-MTE - C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.9% of the vote (2023: 5.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Ràpita

La Ràpita is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 14,767 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PR-PSC-CP came first with 39.2% of the vote and 8 seats; ERC - AM was second with 4. 55.6% of the 11,006 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PR-PSC-CP would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PR-PSC-CPPSOE 39.2% → 33.9% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 23.2% → 28.5% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. CMJunts 12.2% → 10.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. MRLocal lists 7.9% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.3% → 7.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. LRXXI-ARA PLLocal lists 6.3% → 6.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. FR-MTE - CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 2.9% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,116 valid votes including 159 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Ràpita in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →