La Pobla de Montornès: ERC - AM would keep its majority
La Pobla de Montornès (Tarragona, 3,101 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%ERC - AM majority
- 1,224valid votes in 2023 (50% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Pobla de Montornès
La Pobla de Montornès is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 3,101 inhabitants, the 48th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 46.1% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; AMPM-PSC-CP was second with 4. 50.2% of the 2,440 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 46.1% → 55.4% 6 → 7 councillors
- AMPM-PSC-CPPSOE 31.7% → 26.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 9.0% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 7.6% → 7.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- ECPPM-CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,224 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.