Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

L'Arboç: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

L'Arboç (Tarragona, 5,604 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 47.4%) Majority 32%
AXL´A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 35.4%) Majority 3%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About L'Arboç

L'Arboç is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 5,604 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 47.4% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; AXL´A was second with 5. 64.6% of the 3,639 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-CP would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 47.4% → 43.5% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. AXL´ALocal lists 35.4% → 36.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 11.7% → 15.2% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.7% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,350 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near L'Arboç in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →