Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Canonja: PSC-CP would keep its majority

La Canonja (Tarragona, 5,873 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 57.4% of the vote (2023: 61.2%) Majority over 99%
SPC-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 4.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 5.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 61.2% → 57.4% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. SPC-AMUNTCUP 13.9% → 14.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.4% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 5.7% → 7.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CMJunts 5.3% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 4.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. LCECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,490 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Canonja in size, in Tarragona

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