Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

L'Arboç: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

L'Arboç (Tarragona, 5,604 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 47.4%) Majority 32%
AXL´A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 35.4%) Majority 3%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 47.4% → 43.5% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. AXL´ALocal lists 35.4% → 36.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 11.7% → 15.2% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.7% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,350 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near L'Arboç in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →