España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

La Canonja: PSC-CP would keep its majority

La Canonja (Tarragona, 5,873 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 57.4% of the vote (2023: 61.2%) Majority over 99%
SPC-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 4.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 5.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About La Canonja

La Canonja is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 5,873 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 61.2% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; SPC-AMUNT was second with 2. 56.1% of the 4,442 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSC-CP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 61.2% → 57.4% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. SPC-AMUNTCUP 13.9% → 14.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.4% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 5.7% → 7.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CMJunts 5.3% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 4.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. LCECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,490 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Canonja in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →