España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

El Catllar: no list would have a majority, SOMOS CATLLAR largest

El Catllar (Tarragona, 4,921 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SOMOS CATLLAR±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.5% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority under 1%
PSC-CP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%
MO1-TE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 13.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Catllar

El Catllar is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 4,921 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 SOMOS CATLLAR came first with 28.6% of the vote and 4 seats; PSC-CP was second with 2. 56.2% of the 3,766 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: SOMOS CATLLAR would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SOMOS CATLLARLocal lists 28.6% → 30.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 19.3% → 16.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. MO1-TELocal lists 14.4% → 15.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 11.1% → 14.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. CMJunts 13.4% → 12.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 5.8% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. UCU-FICLocal lists 3.8% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. ECECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,118 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Catllar in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →