Deltebre: CM would keep its majority
Deltebre (Tarragona, 11,656 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 92%CM majority
- 5,856valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Deltebre
Deltebre is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 11,656 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 64.5% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 5. 65.4% of the 8,955 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 64.5% → 58.6% 12 → 10 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 29.4% → 37.8% 5 → 7 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 4.6% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,856 valid votes including 89 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.