Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cornudella de Montsant: CP - AM would win a majority

Cornudella de Montsant (Tarragona, 978 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CP - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 40.8%) Majority 73%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 42.5% of the vote (2023: 50.2%) Majority 27%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Cornudella de Montsant

Cornudella de Montsant is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 978 inhabitants, the 87th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 50.2% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; CP - AM was second with 3. 76% of the 791 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CP - AM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CP - AMERC 40.8% → 48.8% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. CMJunts 50.2% → 42.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. IDC-IDCLocal lists 6.2% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 601 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cornudella de Montsant in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →