Tivenys: IFP-ERC-AM would keep its majority
Tivenys (Tarragona, 923 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%IFP-ERC-AM majority
- 602valid votes in 2023 (88% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IFP-ERC-AM±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 71.3% of the vote (2023: 63.6%)
Majority over 99%
PSC-CP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 34.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IFP-ERC-AMERC 63.6% → 71.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 34.7% → 27.1% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 602 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.