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Castellvell del Camp: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Castellvell del Camp (Tarragona, 2,946 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 42.5% of the vote (2023: 34.7%) Majority 52%
ARA PL+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 22.0%) Majority 0%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.7% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 48% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Castellvell del Camp

Castellvell del Camp is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 2,946 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 34.7% of the vote and 4 seats; CM was second with 3. 58.3% of the 2,351 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC - AM would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 34.7% → 42.5% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. ARA PLLocal lists 22.0% → 21.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 25.1% → 21.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 7.6% → 6.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 8.8% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,370 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castellvell del Camp in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →