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Batea: UPTA-CP would keep its majority

Batea (Tarragona, 1,863 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPTA-CP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 62.2% of the vote (2023: 61.8%) Majority 99%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.7%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Batea

Batea is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,863 inhabitants, the 65th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UPTA-CP came first with 61.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 3. 71.6% of the 1,452 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UPTA-CP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPTA-CPPSOE 61.8% → 62.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 34.7% → 34.3% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,040 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Batea in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →