Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Banyeres del Penedès: BNY-AM would win a majority

Banyeres del Penedès (Tarragona, 3,271 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

BNY-AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.3% of the vote (2023: 41.5%) Majority 81%
PSC-CP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.7% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 15.9%) Majority 0%
BV - C±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. BNY-AMERC 41.5% → 51.3% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 30.2% → 25.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 15.9% → 13.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. BV - CSumar, Podemos and allies 11.2% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,458 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Banyeres del Penedès in size, in Tarragona

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