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Altafulla: no list would have a majority, L'EINA-ERC-AM largest

Altafulla (Tarragona, 5,609 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

L'EINA-ERC-AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.8% of the vote (2023: 32.4%) Majority 43%
AA - C−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 0%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Altafulla

Altafulla is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 5,609 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 L'EINA-ERC-AM came first with 32.4% of the vote and 5 seats; AA - C was second with 5. 63.1% of the 4,145 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: L'EINA-ERC-AM would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. L'EINA-ERC-AMERC 32.4% → 41.8% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. AA - CSumar, Podemos and allies 31.3% → 26.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. CMJunts 13.6% → 12.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 9.5% → 6.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ARA PLLocal lists 5.9% → 6.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 5.8% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,615 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Altafulla in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →