Villanueva del Ariscal: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Villanueva del Ariscal (Sevilla, 6,715 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 41%PP majority
- 3,685valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.1% of the vote (2023: 47.5%)
Majority 41%
PSOE-A−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 48.8%)
Majority 31%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 3.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.5% → 47.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 48.8% → 44.9% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 3.0% → 7.3% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,685 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.