Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villamanrique de la Condesa: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Villamanrique de la Condesa (Sevilla, 4,580 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 47.7% of the vote (2023: 51.4%) Majority 49%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.8% of the vote (2023: 47.0%) Majority 50%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 51.4% → 47.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 47.0% → 46.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 1.3% → 5.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,445 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villamanrique de la Condesa in size, in Sevilla

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