Aznalcázar: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Aznalcázar (Sevilla, 4,664 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%PSOE-A majority
- 1,905valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 55.2% of the vote (2023: 59.6%)
Majority 89%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 33.8%)
Majority 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 5.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 59.6% → 55.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 33.8% → 33.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 5.5% → 10.6% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,905 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Aznalcázar in size, in Sevilla
- Cazalla de la Sierra4,700 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Coronil4,720 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Luisiana4,588 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villamanrique de la Condesa4,580 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villanueva del Río y Minas4,934 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Castilblanco de los Arroyos5,027 inhabitants · 13 councillors