Aznalcázar: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Aznalcázar (Sevilla, 4,664 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%PSOE-A majority
- 1,905valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aznalcázar
Aznalcázar is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 4,664 inhabitants, the 67th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 59.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 53.1% of the 3,590 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 59.6% → 55.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 33.8% → 33.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 5.5% → 10.6% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,905 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Aznalcázar in size, in Sevilla
- Cazalla de la Sierra4,700 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Coronil4,720 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Luisiana4,588 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villamanrique de la Condesa4,580 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villanueva del Río y Minas4,934 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Castilblanco de los Arroyos5,027 inhabitants · 13 councillors