Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aznalcázar: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Aznalcázar (Sevilla, 4,664 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 55.2% of the vote (2023: 59.6%) Majority 89%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 33.8%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Aznalcázar

Aznalcázar is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 4,664 inhabitants, the 67th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 59.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 53.1% of the 3,590 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 59.6% → 55.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.8% → 33.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.5% → 10.6% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,905 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aznalcázar in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →